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Minnesota | W1891 I see your comparison and acknowledge that without actually coming up with a statistical average of the climate districts, I would visually say 23 was drier than 24 in this timeframe though they are very similar. My question to you would be this. Based on your posts I view you as a realistic expectation person and I appreciate that. Beings the results were similar year over year, is it actually plausible that we can raise a 6 bushel year over year increase on a national scale? Personally for me, with this finish, I don't think it's remotely possible. I've seen what dry late seasons can do and they are not my own top personal yields. My personal best yields on farms come in years when I get decent July and August rains and more so August than July. I've seen you discuss a 2004 type yield and extrapolate that to now and know the full potential of the corn belt is phenomenal but would require clicking on all cylinders in a large number of states. I just don't see it this year personally. Had potential, but fizzled out and didn't get that late season rain on a large scale to produce these monster predictions.
Edit I would add...to further strengthen my assumptions, A map comparing July 15-Sept 15 is no comparison. This year is substantially drier than 2023.
Edited by ZCZFarmer 9/19/2024 06:59
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Driest August 15-September 15 ever…..
